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Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Weather outlook for Arkansas from the Arkansas Department of Emergency Management, Garland County


Subject: Severe Weather Outlook

Monday, August 27, 3:35 p.m.

The last three forecast issuances have changed very little as far as Arkansas is concerned.  This gives at least some confidence that the various computer models are zeroing in on where Isaac is going to go.

The latest NHC forecast shows Isaac coming up from south central or southeast Arkansas, moving through central and north central Arkansas, and then on up into Missouri.  However, NHC's "cone of uncertainty"
extends from eastern Oklahoma across Arkansas through West Tennessee, indicating that the center of Isaac could still end up anywhere within that cone.  Thus, the forecast is still not carved in stone, and Isaac's path could still shift somewhat toward the west or the east.

The next NHC bulletin comes out around 4 p.m. CDT.  We don't get any advance notice on what the advisory is going to say.

I will issue the next message around 10 a.m. Tuesday.

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