LITTLE ROCK AR 500 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 500 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS REMAINS PARKED OVER THE STATE AT THIS TIME WITH DEW POINT TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 60S. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION FIRING UP DURING THE AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE SWINGS THROUGH. WHILE A STRONG STORM OR TWO CAN NOT BE DISCOUNTED...THE POSSIBILITY OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE STATE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
YET ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE NATIONS MID SECTION. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY AND SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS BUT THE TORNADO THREAT CAN NOT BE DISCOUNTED ENTIRELY.
IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG STORMS...THE MOISTURE LADEN AIR MASS COULD ALSO LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. ROUGHLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE IS UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER FRIDAY.
THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY FINALLY ALLOWING A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO ADVANCE INTO THE STATE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN CONCERN. THE AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE ALONG THE BOUNDARY ITSELF AND WILL COVER A MUCH LARGER AREA THAN TODAY OR FRIDAY.
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