For today and Friday, the number of thunderstorms in the state will be limited. Any strong storms would be very isolated.
The next cold front will enter
northwest Arkansas Friday night (probably after midnight) and then move across
the state Saturday and Saturday night. A few severe storms could occur with the
passage of the front, but widespread severe weather is not expected. Damaging
winds will be the main severe weather threat.
Rainfall amounts should
average 1/4 to 3/4 inch, except in eastern Arkansas, where there will probably
be some totals exceeding an inch.
track of Tropical Storm Karen (which may eventually be Hurricane Karen) could
increase rainfall amounts over eastern Arkansas. There is good certainty that
Karen will not come up into Arkansas, but depending on the track, tropical
moisture being drawn northward could reach eastern Arkansas before the front
moves through. If this occurs, there will probably be some 2 to 3+ inch amounts
in the eastern part of the state.