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Thursday, October 3, 2013

National weather service advisory

For today and Friday, the number of thunderstorms in the state will be limited.  Any strong storms would be very isolated.

The next cold front will enter northwest Arkansas Friday night (probably after midnight) and then move across the state Saturday and Saturday night.  A few severe storms could occur with the passage of the front, but widespread severe weather is not expected.  Damaging winds will be the main severe weather threat.

Rainfall amounts should average 1/4 to 3/4 inch, except in eastern Arkansas, where there will probably be some totals exceeding an inch.

However, the track of Tropical Storm Karen (which may eventually be Hurricane Karen) could increase rainfall amounts over eastern Arkansas.  There is good certainty that Karen will not come up into Arkansas, but depending on the track, tropical moisture being drawn northward could reach eastern Arkansas before the front moves through.  If this occurs, there will probably be some 2 to 3+ inch amounts in the eastern part of the state.

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